How long can Iran continue the war?

How Long Can Iran Continue the War?

Iran faces a significant challenge in its conflict with the United States and Israel, as it operates with minimal support from allies. The country’s defense strategy centers on its missile and drone arsenal, with officials expressing a determination to resist no matter the consequences. Ali Larijani, head of the Supreme National Security Council, emphasized this resolve during the third day of the joint military campaign against Iran, stating, “We will defend ourselves, whatever the cost.”

Since February 28, the US and Israel have launched a synchronized, large-scale assault on Iranian targets, focusing on leadership figures and critical infrastructure. Despite the loss of several high-ranking officials, the theocratic regime remains intact. In response, Tehran has retaliated by targeting locations in Israel and neighboring Persian Gulf nations, including US installations. The United Arab Emirates reported being hit by numerous Iranian rockets and drones in recent days, underscoring the regional impact of the conflict.

“Iran will try to prolong the war and is playing for time,” said Fawaz Gerges, an international relations professor at the London School of Economics. “The Iranian leadership has had time to plan and coordinate its actions. I think they are preparing for a long war.”

Admiral Brad Cooper, leading the US Central Command, noted that by March 4, Iran had launched over 500 ballistic missiles and more than 2,000 drones. He accused the regime of targeting civilians in the process. A unnamed weapons expert highlighted that while the exact number of Iran’s missile stockpiles is unclear, the country’s ability to sustain attacks has been tested by both its own deployments and US-Israeli strikes that have destroyed many storage sites.

Satellite imagery circulating online appears to show damage to missile bases in Kermanshah, Karaj, Khorramabad, and northern Tabriz, with collapsed tunnels indicating underground facilities targeted in recent operations. The expert added that mobile missile launchers are now easier to target, thanks to advancements in technology, though it’s uncertain how many systems have been neutralized. Meanwhile, Iran’s drone production remains robust, with leaked Russian documents suggesting the nation can manufacture around 5,000 units monthly. These Shahed drones, launched from simple scaffolds assembled in hours, cost Iran several thousand dollars each, contrasting sharply with the $3 million price tag of a US Patriot interceptor.

According to the New York Times, Iran’s short-range missiles and drones struck communications and radar systems at or near seven US military bases in the Middle East over the weekend and Monday. While the US’s secretive communication infrastructure makes precise damage assessments difficult, the attacks suggest an intent to undermine coordination and operational effectiveness. The conflict’s endurance hinges on Iran’s capacity to maintain resilience, absorbing strikes and continuing its efforts to prolong the engagement.